As a response to criticism of the “filler” nominees in the last couple years, AMPAS reduced the number of nominees to a variable number between ten and five. This year, it was nine. My understanding of how the vote counting works would lead last year to be nine or ten regardless. Something I admire about this change in the best picture category is that it has created greater clarity in the awards circuit’s perception of the best films of the year. Last year it was evident that there were eleven films vying for best picture. The top ten were the correct films plus “The Town”, which was pushed out for a better but lesser known film “Winter’s Bone”. This year the field is less determined than that but the films left out of the picture category make up a clear fourteen top films. Adding to the nine nominees “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”, “The Ides of March”, and “Bridesmaids” from the PGA nominations and “Drive” and “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” from the BAFTA nominations you get a good picture of what is typically considered the awards movies of this year. Ultimately “Drive” and “The Ides of March” only managed one nomination, two for “Bridesmaids”, three for “Tinker Tailor”, and five for “Dragon Tattoo” (more nominations than several in the best picture category). The two I wasn’t anticipating making the Oscar list were “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” and “The Tree of Life”, though I’ll take both over “Bridesmaids” or “The Ides of March”. Last year there was a pleasant connection between the top ten and nominations by numbers. All ten were the most nominated films of the year. This year “Extremely Loud” has only two when five other films have more nominations total and five other films would have more nominations were they nominated for best picture.
The director category has served in the last couple years to clarify the top and bottom five nominees. Often in years of five best pictures the director category will deviate from picture by one indicating some unrest in the nominees. Separating director and picture is a difficult thing to do considering that what a director does differs in every production. This year the top four fill the director category along with Terrence Malick, whose film has the strongest authorial voice of any this year. David Fincher took his spot in the DGA nominations which was a slight disappointment but is certainly better than a Spielberg nomination. It’s rare to see the DGA and AMPAS disagree in this category. It’s also sad to see “War Horse” nominated so often undeservedly. “The Artist” will likely win both of these.
The leading actor category seemed well decided this year save the fifth nomination, either going to DiCaprio, Oldman, Gosling, or Bichir. Shockingly both Gary Oldman and Demian Bichir took nominations pushing out Michael Fassbender’s amazing performance in “Shame” and completely shutting out the film from competition. It’s nice to see Gary Oldman finally earn a nomination and this is a well deserved one but Bichir does nothing interesting, unique, or compelling in “A Better Life”. It’s a hollow one note performance and why it has garnered attention puzzles me. Jean Dujardin and George Clooney will compete for this.
Supporting actor had two leaders until now. Christopher Plummer and Albert Brooks were going to fight it out with extremely disparate performances. Now Christopher Plummer will win. As part of the massive “Drive” snub this year Brooks was ignored in lieu of Max von Sydow in “Extremely Loud” (the second nomination for that film). But Sydow was a great part of the film and I don’t begrudge his recognition, instead I question why Nick Nolte has been nominated for the outrageously bad “Warrior”. Viggo Mortensen would have also been welcome in this category giving some attention to the shut out “A Dangerous Method”.
Rooney Mara is the only surprise in the leading actress category. Tilda Swinton should be used to the snub by now. This is her third year in a row for great overlooked performances. “We Need to Talk About Kevin” is completely shut out as well, in addition to the expected screenplay and potential actress nominee “Young Adult”. There is a bit of a three way tie in who will win this category. Viola Davis appear to be the leader, but Meryl Streep and Michelle Williams have just as much momentum.
Once again “Drive” and “Shame” are ignored as Carey Mulligan earns a nomination for neither film in the supporting actress category. Instead all of the expected nominees are there. Shailene Woodley sat on the outside of this category for a while, hoping to push out the insane nomination for Melissa McCarthy, but in the end the fat woman beat the hot girl. The women from “The Help” lead this category and unless there is a split in the vote leading to a Bejo upset, either Spencer or Chastain will win.
Documentary feature is always less exciting in terms of snubs since there is a shortlist already identifying that neither Herzog film will be nominated. Previous leaders “Buck”, “Bill Cunningham New York”, and “Project Nim” are all removed from the category leaving “Pina” the only popular nominee. Likely the winner. Also, it’s in 3D.
Foreign language has a similar issue with the shortlist, but nothing was too shocking in what films didn’t make the five after the shortlist. Only “Pina”, which was shortlisted in both categories and only made the cut for documentary. Wouldn’t that be amusing to have a film nominated in both specialty categories? “A Separation” is the clear leader here but AMPAS has an uncanny ability to never award the leading film for foreign language.
Animated feature moved back to five nominees this year. It also included two less known pictures: “Chico & Rita” and “A Cat in Paris”. The other three nominees were leaders however “The Adventures of Tintin” did not make the list. Interestingly enough the night before the nominations I was sharing with a friend that the category I was most nervous over this year was animated. “Rango” is so clearly the best film but after the HFPA and PGA awarded “Tintin” I was growing concerned. Now my fears are gone, but “Tintin” is still a better film than “Puss in Boots”.
Costume design… frustrates me. It often leads me to watch films I’d otherwise forget existed like the Madonna directed “W.E.”. It’s also a difficult one to predict because it rarely goes along with the sweep from the rest of the year. Although two of the leading picture candidates are represented here.
Editing is the other category to typically correlate with picture. A film winning all three is a sign of a unanimous victory. This year the less than flashy editing of “Midnight in Paris” removed it from the category unsurprisingly. But “The Tree of Life” falling out of the category raises questions about the nominations as the film is a miracle of editing. “Dragon Tattoo” and “Moneyball” are certainly deserving nominees, but still surprising.
Score left Trent Reznor off the list this year, which is a shame since John Williams was given two nominations for recycling the same garbage he has put out for the last several decades. “The Artist” will likely take this category considering the score is so integral to the storytelling. Unfortunately two other electronic scores were left off the list, “Attack the Block” and “Hanna”.
Original song is such a fleeting category. I expect in a few years it won’t exist anymore. After the 2008 reduction of their part in the ceremony and number of nominees it has been an endless disappointment. That year the three songs were combined into a painful medley. The next year the five nominated songs were not performed at all (sadly when Ryan Bingham was nominated). Then last year they returned the full performances to the show reducing the nominees to the odd number of four. In Randy Newman’s acceptance speech he pointed out this oddity. This year things are even stranger with only two nominees and a very clear winner in “Man or Muppet”. At least Gwyneth Paltrow won’t sing. No great songs were snubbed here.
I was a little shocked at the inclusion of “Real Steel” in the visual effects category. None of the marvel films from this year were nominated. “Pirates”, “Mission Impossible”, and “Sherlock Holmes” all had better visuals. And the train sequence in “Super 8″ is more than enough to garner a nomination over the tacky robots in “Real Steel”. “Rise of the Planet of the Apes”, however, will win.
Adapted screenplay confuses the best picture category even more and strengthens the top fourteen concept. Leaders “The Help”, “Dragon Tattoo”, and “Extremely Loud” were all left out for “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” and “The Ides of March”. Sad considering “The Ides of March” suffered most as a film from its poorly adapted script. “The Descendants” will win here.
Original screenplay offers mostly shocking shut outs. Expected nominees “50/50″, “Win Win”, and “Young Adult” all fell off of this list and out of the awards entirely. Instead the overrated “A Separation” and “Bridesmaids” found a place here. AMPAS just loves nominating the occasionally raunchy comedy screenplay. “Margin Call” was a happy addition however. “Midnight in Paris” will win this category, hurting “The Artist” in final number of wins. This year, like last year, will show a low scoring best picture win.
I’m looking forward to finding and watching the foreign language, documentary, and short nominees. If motivation allows I will blog about them.
